BCG has a comprehensive view on the consumer and industry value pools and
business model archetypes across the mobility ecosystem.
We partner with cities around the world to solve urban mobility problems. BCG works with automotive industry clients and providers of emerging mobility technologies to help shape mobility solutions for people and goods, bring them to market, and embed them in cities’ mobility strategies.
Around the world, urban mobility problems contribute to pollution, safety concerns, and disparities in job, health care, and education access. To solve these problems, mobility strategies must integrate with a host of emerging mobility technologies, be customized to a locale, and account for such key factors as population density, public transport options, and street network type.
Urban Mobility Faces Many Challenges
Our approach to the future of mobility follows what’s known as CASE logic:
Connected vehicles will account for 100% of the market by 2035
Automobile manufacturing is moving from a focus on hardware to one on software. This means that cars will operate more like smartphones, providing over-the-air connectivity, guidance, and upgradability and boosting productivity for travelers.
Autonomous cars will emerge in the next 15 years, with high-driving (level 4) automation featured on 10% of new cars sold in 2035
Self-driving cars and robotaxis—in the form of shared, autonomous, electric vehicles and autonomous mobility on demand—promise to help unlock discretionary income and overcome pollution, parking, and safety issues.
Shared mobility offerings will account for 15% of urban trips by 2035
Shared mobility includes ride-pooling and ride-hailing apps, car sharing, and micromobility with e-scooters and bicycles. It is most fully achieved by mobility as a service approaches and apps that allow users to plan, book, and pay for the best point-to-point travel across modes.
Electric vehicles will account for 35% of new car sales in 2035
Electrified vehicles (EVs) are gaining viability as solutions that tackle the pollution problem head on. Industry investments are expanding the range of EVs by boosting the power and reducing the cost of electric batteries and by improving the charging infrastructure and experience.
Our Clients’ Success in Mobility
BCG’s Center for Mobility Innovation collaborated with Detroit and a conglomerate of local public and private stakeholders to help improve mobility in the city. Over a 12 week innovation sprint, partner organizations brainstormed more than 100 ideas for tackling Detroit’s mobility challenges. The options were whittled down to six projects that ran as 12 month pilots, ranging from a revolutionary car-sharing approach to dynamically-scheduled public transportation.
We’ve modeled mobility scenarios in dozens of cities around the world and have worked one-on-one with many of these cities to put mobility solutions in place. In Paris, we helped city leaders develop a new mobility strategy with the goal of reinventing mobility in the city by 2030. In Tongzhou, we created a ten-point action plan designed to create a smart city that deploys shared mobility, autonomous mobility, and mobility as a service. And in Boston, we partnered with the World Economic Forum and municipal leaders to assess Boston’s mobility status and conduct simulations using autonomous mobility.
Our Center for Mobility Innovation works with leaders in the automotive, transportation and logistics, and mobility industries, including governments, new and incumbent mobility providers, investors, and other stakeholders. Recent client success includes designing a car-sharing company with a leading insurer, conceptualizing a peer-to-peer e-scooter company with a leading automotive supplier, collaborating with a leading vehicle manufacturer on a sharing program for electric LCVs, and formulating strategy for a mobility service provider to drive top- and bottom-line growth.
Our Tools and Simulations for the Future of Mobility
Profit Pool Insights on Mobility and MaaS
Profit Pool Insights on Mobility and MaaS
Urban Mobility Accelerator
This tool helps ideate and design mobility solutions that address city-specific frictions by bringing together local mobility stakeholders and city administrations.
Urban Mobility Accelerator
Economic and Maturity Assessment of Shared Autonomous Mobility
BCG taps data and simulations to create city archetypes and forecasts that predict the uptake and share of various modes of mobility within a city or region.
Economic and Maturity Assessment of Shared Autonomous Mobility
Market Forecasting and Infrastructure Analysis on the EV Battery and Charging Markets
We bring our detailed data and deep insight to help mobility providers and governments evaluate the implications of various
battery demand scenarios.
Market Forecasting and Infrastructure Analysis on the EV Battery and Charging Markets
Our Mobility Industry Partners and Centers of Excellence
BCG is proud to partner with our clients, specialty partners, and with other organizations seeking to advance mobility solutions, including:
World Economic Forum: We participate in the forum’s Global Autonomous and Urban Mobility Council, which seeks to shape the development and application of emerging mobility technologies for the benefit of humanity. BCG has partnered with the World Economic Forum on urban mobility since 2013.
- StreetLight Data: BCG’s partnership with StreetLight focuses on helping cities prepare to adopt micromobility and autonomous mobility. Using StreetLight’s big-data resources, we develop strategies for deploying these new offerings at scale and design services around them.
- University of St. Gallen: Our joint study simulated transportation conditions across five urban archetypes, drawing on an extensive analysis of cities across the globe and modeling 1.7 billion trips. We interviewed more than 30 experts on the key success factors and roadblocks facing intermodal and autonomous mobility as well as micromobility.
- BCG X: Our tech build and design division, and an important partner in our mobility consulting work. BCG X partners with our mobility consulting teams on advanced behavioral analysis, IT implementations, and corporate innovation.
- BCG BrightHouse: BCG BrightHouse works with companies to uncover and articulate the larger “why” behind an organization’s purpose. From there, we can create elevated mobility solutions that drive impact.
- BCG’s Center for Mobility Innovation: The center’s expertise ecosystem includes startups, think tanks, and implementers. Our coverage spans intermodal platforms, cars reimagined through Industry 4.0, mobility services, public transport, logistics services, and smart infrastructure.
Article
November 10, 2020
From autonomous vehicle technology to hyperpersonalized car-buying experiences and mobility as a service, AI and generative AI will revolutionize the way we move.
Article
July 27, 2023
Charging an electric vehicle takes more time than fueling a car. An innovative BCG simulation identified key factors that will help drivers make the switch to an EV.
Article
June 9, 2022
EV adoption is shifting into overdrive—generating fresh challenges for automakers and fueling creative solutions.
Transportation and economic development are deeply intertwined; in fact, commuting time is the greatest indicator of an individual’s ability to escape poverty. BCG’s latest research collaboration with the World Economic Forum explores how thoughtfully designed mobility systems can play a crucial role in everything from a community’s health to socioeconomic gains.
Meet Our Experts in Mobility Consulting
BCG’s Center for Mobility Innovation is a hub of cross-sector mobility consulting expertise, bringing the best of BCG’s
automotive;
infrastructure,
cities, and
transport;
public sector; and
digitization and
analytics acumen to our clients.
