From autonomous vehicle technology to hyperpersonalized car-buying experiences and mobility as a service, AI and generative AI will revolutionize the way we move.
Our approach to the future of mobility follows what’s known as CASE logic:
Connected vehicles will account for 100% of the market by 2035
Automobile manufacturing is moving from a focus on hardware to one on software. This means that cars will operate more like smartphones, providing over-the-air connectivity, guidance, and upgradability and boosting productivity for travelers.
Autonomous cars will emerge in the next 15 years, with high-driving (level 4) automation featured on 10% of new cars sold in 2035
Self-driving cars and robotaxis—in the form of shared, autonomous, electric vehicles and autonomous mobility on demand—promise to help unlock discretionary income and overcome pollution, parking, and safety issues.
Shared mobility offerings will account for 15% of urban trips by 2035
Shared mobility includes ride-pooling and ride-hailing apps, car sharing, and micromobility with e-scooters and bicycles. It is most fully achieved by mobility as a service approaches and apps that allow users to plan, book, and pay for the best point-to-point travel across modes.
Electric vehicles will account for 35% of new car sales in 2035
Electrified vehicles (EVs) are gaining viability as solutions that tackle the pollution problem head on. Industry investments are expanding the range of EVs by boosting the power and reducing the cost of electric batteries and by improving the charging infrastructure and experience.
Our Clients’ Success in Mobility
BCG’s Center for Mobility Innovation collaborated with Detroit and a conglomerate of local public and private stakeholders to help improve mobility in the city. Over a 12 week innovation sprint, partner organizations brainstormed more than 100 ideas for tackling Detroit’s mobility challenges. The options were whittled down to six projects that ran as 12 month pilots, ranging from a revolutionary car-sharing approach to dynamically-scheduled public transportation.
We’ve modeled mobility scenarios in dozens of cities around the world and have worked one-on-one with many of these cities to put mobility solutions in place. In Paris, we helped city leaders develop a new mobility strategy with the goal of reinventing mobility in the city by 2030. In Tongzhou, we created a ten-point action plan designed to create a smart city that deploys shared mobility, autonomous mobility, and mobility as a service. And in Boston, we partnered with the World Economic Forum and municipal leaders to assess Boston’s mobility status and conduct simulations using autonomous mobility.
Our Center for Mobility Innovation works with leaders in the automotive, transportation and logistics, and mobility industries, including governments, new and incumbent mobility providers, investors, and other stakeholders. Recent client success includes designing a car-sharing company with a leading insurer, conceptualizing a peer-to-peer e-scooter company with a leading automotive supplier, collaborating with a leading vehicle manufacturer on a sharing program for electric LCVs, and formulating strategy for a mobility service provider to drive top- and bottom-line growth.
Our Tools and Simulations for the Future of Mobility
Profit Pool Insights on Mobility and MaaS
BCG has a comprehensive view on the consumer and industry value pools and
business model archetypes across the mobility ecosystem.
Urban Mobility Accelerator
This tool helps ideate and design mobility solutions that address city-specific frictions by bringing together local mobility stakeholders and city administrations.
Economic and Maturity Assessment of Shared Autonomous Mobility
BCG taps data and simulations to create city archetypes and forecasts that predict the uptake and share of various modes of mobility within a city or region.
Market Forecasting and Infrastructure Analysis on the EV Battery and Charging Markets
We bring our detailed data and deep insight to help mobility providers and governments evaluate the implications of various
battery demand scenarios.
Article
July 27, 2023
Charging an electric vehicle takes more time than fueling a car. An innovative BCG simulation identified key factors that will help drivers make the switch to an EV.
Article
June 9, 2022
EV adoption is shifting into overdrive—generating fresh challenges for automakers and fueling creative solutions.
Transportation and economic development are deeply intertwined; in fact, commuting time is the greatest indicator of an individual’s ability to escape poverty. BCG’s latest research collaboration with the World Economic Forum explores how thoughtfully designed mobility systems can play a crucial role in everything from a community’s health to socioeconomic gains.
Meet Our Experts in Mobility Consulting
BCG’s Center for Mobility Innovation is a hub of cross-sector mobility consulting expertise, bringing the best of BCG’s
automotive;
infrastructure,
cities, and
transport;
public sector; and
digitization and
analytics acumen to our clients.
