This brief is based on the article “Five Truths (and One Lie) About Corporate Transformation.”
Change can be daunting for any business. It can even be painful. But when change fails to deliver short- and long-term value for a company, it can land a CEO in the unenviable position of having led a failed transformation.
The odds are certainly stacked against success. A new BCG global analysis shows that only 1 in 4 transformations deliver value-creating, enduring change.
A 75% failure rate is sobering for any CEO mulling a transformation path. But BCG’s analysis has brought to light five truths CEOs can embrace to improve their chances of leading a successful transformation, as well as a common lie they should never tell themselves.
1. CEOs can (and should) fix things before they break. Starting a transformation when a company’s total shareholder returns (TSR) are level pegging or ahead of industry averages delivers significantly more value (2.7 percentage points higher TSR over three years) compared to change efforts launched after a company has fallen behind its peers.
2. Leadership will make or break the transformation. Success often pivots on whether a company’s leadership fully demonstrates their willingness and commitment to change. Sometimes, this necessitates an organizational restructuring. BCG data shows that launching a leadership change during a transformation can deliver 4.1 percentage points greater TSR performance over a five-year arc (compared to a previous downturn period). The impact on TSR can nearly double that if the new leadership comes from outside the company.
3. CEOs cannot cut their way to greatness. One year into a transformation launch, investor expectations drive over 70% of TSR outperformance (compared to peers), while efficiency improvements account for only 13%. This disparity underscores the need for CEOs to craft a compelling transformation plan and shareholder narrative at the start of their efforts. Five years into a transformation, cost reductions do play a bigger role, driving more than 30% of TSR outperformance. But even that share is eclipsed by revenue growth, which accounts for more than 40%—indicating that when it comes to long-term transformation success, execution is key.
4. Transformations require a long-term orientation. Transformations with a long-term strategic orientation are associated with 12.5 percentage points higher TSR over five years, BCG analysis shows. Organizations that strike a forward-looking stance often have an entrepreneurial culture that continuously develops new ideas and is unafraid to try unproven models. To support this bold, innovative orientation, companies can complement traditional, backward-looking performance metrics with more forward-focused ones.
5. CEOs cannot make things up as they go. Establishing a formal transformation program is associated with 5.9 percentage points greater TSR over a five-year change effort. In the same vein, CEOs who put their money where mouth is can also unlock greater transformation value. According to BCG’s analysis, a higher-than-industry average restructuring investment is associated with 5.7 percentage points greater TSR in the long run.
Thinking these truths don’t apply to everyone. At any point over the past two decades, roughly a third of companies were significantly underperforming their peers. Some lagged for years. Transformation is often necessary to improve performance, but it is very tough to get right. CEOs who realize they are probably not the exception to the five truths and instead internalize and act on them fully are more likely to ascend to the ranks of the one quarter of corporate chiefs who actually get change right.
Explore the article that informed this brief
Martin Reeves
Managing Director & Senior Partner, Director of the BCG Henderson Institute
Martin Reeves
Managing Director & Senior Partner, Director of the BCG Henderson Institute
BCGニューヨーク・オフィス シニア・パートナー&マネージング・ディレクター、BCGヘンダーソン研究所所長。ゼネカ(現アストラゼネカ)を経てBCGロンドン・オフィスに入社。BCG東京オフィスにも8年間在籍し、主にヘルスケア業界や多国籍企業に対して様々なプロジェクトを手がけた。世界各地の幅広い業界のクライアントに対して様々なテーマで支援を行う一方、長年、戦略に関する研究を主導し、論考執筆・投稿・講演も数多く行っている。
Christian Gruss joined Boston Consulting Group in 2010. He is a lead member of BCG's Transform Practice, and the regional practice leader for Europe, the Middle East, South America and Africa. He is an experienced transformation leader with a track record of steering very large end-to-end transformation programs across Europe and in many industries including consumer and industrial goods.
Kristy Ellmer is a core member of BCG Transform, Boston Consulting Group's transformation and turnaround unit. She has led numerous large-scale, complex transformations in a variety of industries and geographies, that have led to significant improvement in P&L and organizational health for clients.
Paul Catchlove is Senior Knowledge Expert, and global Knowledge Team (KT) Leader for BCG Transform, Boston Consulting Group's transformation, turnaround and restructuring practice. His work is focused on holistic, large-scale transformations and organizational restructuring programs. Paul has worked on engagements in Finland, Sweden, Poland, the UK, Germany, the US, France, and the Netherlands. He is also a core member of the firm's People and Organization practice, focused on culture and change. Paul is passionate about creating sustained transformation results through executional certainty, performance culture improvement, and change leadership.
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